[INTC]

As seen in the news headline "Tech strength sends Intel higher by 12%," this is a positive catalyst that highlighted technological strength and drove Intel's (INTC) share price up by 12%. Considering the short-term technical overheating and recent stock price volatility, we will consider taking partial profits when the price reaches the REPORTING output take-profit target of $111.37, and immediately manage risk if downside volatility expands and the price breaks below the stop-loss level of $85.14. Considered entering a long position, focusing on the strong news flow accompanied by a 2.2% change over the past 7 days and a 1.87-fold increase in trading volume compared to the 20-day average. RSI(14) has entered the overbought zone at 71.7, and the moving averages are in a non-aligned state. Trading volume is 1.87 times the 20-day average, and the volatility over the past 7 days recorded +2.2%. Despite technical warning signals such as the RSI(14) being in the overbought zone at 71.7 and an irregular alignment of moving averages, entry was attempted by focusing on a +1.87x trading volume and positive news. Although upward momentum was expected at the forecast point, the actual result recorded a -12.1% loss, receiving a FAILED verdict. Ultimately, the inadequate risk management during the short-term overbought phase was the critical flaw. In future trading, we will refrain from aggressive chase-buying in the overbought zone where the RSI exceeds 70, and will apply stricter and more conservative stop-loss criteria, particularly given the moving average environment in a non-aligned (disordered) state. In past similar history, it has shown volatile price reaction patterns, such as +3.6% on 2026-09-28, -2.3% on 2026-09-25, +2.8% on 2026-09-22, +17.3% on 2026-09-18, and +26.1% on 2026-09-16.

Following reports that Intel is in early-stage discussions with SK hynix for a partnership to enable memory semiconductor production in the US, investor expectations for a turnaround have risen, pushing the stock price up. If the upward trend continues due to additional positive news or themes related to the memory partnership, and the target price is reached, we will take profit at $106.69. If the support line breaks or downward pressure intensifies, leading to the stop-loss level, we will cut losses at $85.14. We considered entering based on positive news flow regarding initial discussions of a memory chip partnership between Intel and SK hynix, and the upward momentum of a recent 7-day change of +6.0%. RSI (14) is at 62.3, indicating it is not in the overbought zone and has room for further upside. The moving averages are not in a bullish alignment, and trading volume is at 0.92x the 20-day average. We expected a conservative return based on positive news regarding initial memory chip partnership discussions with SK Hynix and upward thematic momentum, but the actual result significantly exceeded predictions at +26.6%, receiving an OVERHIT rating. Although technical indicators at the entry point—such as an RSI(14) of 62.3 and non-aligned moving averages—showed no clear precursors to a surge, an increase in relevant theme news volume (194 articles) and the stock's individual characteristic of showing strong upward reactions in past similar events appear to have acted in combination to strongly stimulate market expectations. Through this trade, I learned that we should not underestimate upside potential simply based on neutral indicators or a non-aligned moving average state. When the news trend of a theme is rising going forward and momentum related to large-scale partnerships overlaps, I will reflect this in future trades by keeping the possibility of a sudden surge driven by market expectations open—even if technical indicators are not in a fully aligned bullish order—and establishing a flexible profit-taking strategy. Based on past pre-history, there were patterns showing sharp surges of +21.4% on 2026-09-10 and +26.1% on 2026-09-16, but no direct data on similar past successful cases is provided for the current entry timing.

Reports that Intel and SK Hynix are discussing a US memory chip manufacturing partnership have increased the likelihood of Intel securing a major customer for its foundry business. If I bought at $108.4, I will take profit when the stock price reaches the REPORTING output value of $106.69, and cut losses if it falls to $85.14 or below. Trading at $108.40 between the recent September 17 high of $111.37 and low of $104.70, the current price shows signs of rebounding near the recent low, which, combined with positive news catalysts, justifies the buy decision. RSI(14) 62.3, non-aligned moving averages, trading volume 0.92x of the 20-day average, 7-day volatility +6.0% It recorded an actual return of 12.6% compared to the projected return of 4.5%, resulting in an OVERHIT outcome. Although the news and the recent upward trend were accurately captured, the target price was set lower than the current price, failing to fully reflect the actual return. For the upcoming trades, the target price will be reset to a level higher than the current price, additional purchases will be considered when the moving averages transition into a bullish alignment (stacked in ascending order), and the stop-loss line will be adjusted more flexibly in the event of increased volatility. There is a record of a sharp surge ranging from +18.7% to +10.9% between August 28, 2026, and September 2026, so we refer to the pattern where it showed a strong upward reaction upon the announcement of similar favorable news.

SoftBank reported a first-quarter net profit for the fiscal year that exceeded market expectations. If the stock price rises and reaches the profit-taking target of $116.77, I will take full profits. If it falls and breaches the stop-loss level of $81.79, I will cut losses. These target and stop-loss prices are derived from REPORTING calculations. I considered entering based on the positive performance news of SoftBank. As of the entry date, August 21, 2026, the candlestick data shows an opening price of 92.77, a high of 92.77, a low of 89.75, and a closing price of 90.19, with a recent 7-day volatility of +10.2%. The RSI(14) is at 53.6, indicating a neutral position, and the moving averages are in a non-aligned state. The trading volume is at 0.73 times the 20-day average, and the recent 7-day volatility is +10.2%. At the time of the forecast, based on SoftBank's strong performance news and a +10.2% fluctuation rate over the past 7 days, a target profit price of $116.77 and a stop-loss price of $81.79 were set in anticipation of an increase. However, the actual result recorded a -10.2% return, resulting in a FAILED assessment. Despite an entry RSI(14) of 53.6, a trading volume of 0.73 times the 20-day average, and an unaligned moving average state, the inability to adequately guard against the dilution risk implied by critical disclosures such as the new share offering (424B5) and registration statement (S-3ASR), as well as the declining trend of thematic news, is analyzed as the reason for not being able to defend against this decline. In this trading review, rather than focusing solely on positive news or the short-term price increase (+10.2%), I will adjust the next trades to establish a more conservative stop-loss response criterion by more rigorously reflecting the share dilution risk indicated by the CRITICAL rating and the technical limitations such as the misalignment of moving averages. Looking at the historical data, a price reaction pattern of +7.0% on August 11, 2026, and +3.6% on August 12, 2026, is observed.