[LRCX]

Lam Research announced that it surpassed the 40% operating margin milestone in its Q1 FY2027 earnings release slides. 결론부터 말씀드리면, 익절 목표가인 $352.56에 도달하면 분할 익절하고, 손절가인 $260.29를 이탈하면 손절 대응하겠습니다. 구체적으로는, 진입 이후 주가가 상승하여 $352.56에 도달할 경우 이 시나리오에 따라 수익을 실현하겠으며, 반대로 하방 압력을 받아 손절가인 $260.29를 하향 이탈할 경우에는 리스크 관리 차원에서 즉시 포지션을 정리하겠습니다. (참고로 본 익절가와 손절가는 REPORTING 산출값입니다.) To state the conclusion first, we will consider entering through scaled-in buying based on the possibility of a rebound in the oversold zone and news of strong operating profit margins. We determined that there is room for a short-term rebound given that the RSI(14) at the time of entry was 22.8, indicating a severely oversold condition, and the rate of change over the past 7 days was a steep -17.4%. In addition, support from a fundamental perspective can be expected with the news of Lam Research breaking above a 40% operating profit margin for Q1 FY2027. However, since separate support and resistance figures were not calculated in the provided data, we will time our entry by referencing technical indicators and the price volatility of recent candlestick trends (such as the 2026-10-22 open of 234.5, low of 227.68, and close of 230.15). The technical indicators at the entry point are as follows: RSI(14) indicates an oversold condition at 22.8, and the moving average is aligned. Trading volume is at 0.92 times the 20-day average, and the volatility over the past 7 days has recorded -17.4%. To conclude, rather than the expected rebound, an additional decline occurred, resulting in a FAILED verdict (actual return of -11.8%). At the time of entry, we anticipated a short-term rebound based on the severely oversold condition with an RSI(14) of 22.8, the positive catalyst of Q1 FY2027 operating margin breaking 40%, and the sharp drop of -17.4% over the preceding 7 days (-17.4%). However, we failed to sufficiently defend against the strong downward pressure shown in the actual candle movement and the stock price volatility that pushed it down to the early 220s. Underestimating the market's overall short-term selling pressure was the primary reason for this failure. To put it bluntly, in future trading, even if technical oversold indicators (such as an RSI of 22.8) coincide with positive news, we will strictly control our entry weight until a clear trend reversal signal or support is confirmed. While numerical attractiveness on indicators is important, amidst the sharp downward trend over the past 7 days, we will more conservatively reflect overall market momentum (such as the declining trend in thematic news counts) and the possibility of breaking candle lows, applying an execution plan to tightly manage stop-loss criteria in the next trade. Looking at the past similar history of this stock, it showed price reactions of +3.5% on August 14, 2026, and +12.5% on September 19, 2026, respectively, while during periods of decline, it recorded changes of -4.7% on October 13, 2026, and -3.3% on October 14, 2026. These past patterns demonstrate the characteristics of individual stocks moving with volatility before and after specific events.

This is positive news as Lam Research recovered some of its recent losses with a 7% increase. Based on the news flow and technical indicators, I will take profit upon reaching the target price of $322.21 and cut losses if the stop-loss price of $265.37 is breached. During the recent 7-day correction of -16.0%, the RSI(14) entered the oversold territory at 28.4, and volume flowed in at 1.44 times the 20-day average. Combined with news of a 7% rebound in Lam Research, entry was considered aiming for a short-term rebound. At the entry point, the technical indicators showed an oversold condition with an RSI(14) of 28.4, moving averages were in a non-bullish alignment, trading volume was 1.44 times the 20-day average, and the 7-day volatility (rate of change) was recorded at -16.0%. Based on the oversold condition with an RSI of 28.4 at the time of entry and an influx of trading volume at 1.44 times the 20-day average, a short-term rebound was anticipated. Surpassing the predicted return of 2.5%, the actual realized return reached 12.4%, resulting in an OVERHIT rating. While the analysis accurately identified the strong rebound momentum driven by 7% upside news following a deep correction of -16.0% over the past 7 days, the magnitude of the market's upward momentum was estimated somewhat conservatively, causing the actual result to significantly exceed the forecast. Through this trade, we confirmed that a stronger trend rebound than expected could occur if trading volume is accompanied by positive developments in the oversold zone (RSI 30 or below). Going forward, in similar periods of excessive price declines, we will refine our trading strategy to capture profit-maximization opportunities by keeping our short-term target price more flexible. In the past history of this stock, there is a record of a sharp rebound of +12.5% on 2026-09-19. Additionally, there is a similar successful case overlapping with the keyword 'Lam Research' (2026-09-30 00:07:44, return of 12.4%), and while cases such as VEEE (+451.7%) on 2026-07-16 and AEMD (+336.4%) on 2026-09-18 lack direct grounds for similarity, they serve as top-performing cases worth referencing.

Lam Research is indicating a positive trend with a strong growth outlook extending to 2027 and an expected revenue of $8.1 billion for the September quarter. We will enter the position aiming for a technical rebound due to the extreme oversold condition with an RSI of 19.4. We will take profits if the price reaches $285.0 and will cut losses if it falls to $240.0. It is assessed as a technical rebound period following a short-term sharp decline. Over the past 7 days, the stock has shown a volatility of -17.7%, resulting in a significant drop in price, and the RSI has fallen to 19.4, indicating an extreme oversold condition, which suggests a very high likelihood of a rebound. The RSI(14) is at 19.4, indicating an extreme oversold condition, and the moving averages are in a non-aligned state. The trading volume is at 1.34 times the 20-day average. The trade was successfully completed with a return of 18.0%, exceeding the forecasted return of 12.5%. The strategy aimed at capitalizing on a technical rebound during the oversold period proved to be effective. We have confirmed the validity of the rebound scenario based on the RSI oversold indicator and news. However, considering the volatility during the sharp decline, we will focus on increasing the precision of the entry point. In a past similar case, on 2026-07-31 at 03:27:42, the stock LRCX recorded a return of 18.0%.

Lam Research expects its revenue for the September quarter to be $8.1 billion, anticipating that the WFE (wafer fabrication equipment) market will be in the low $150 billion range. If the resistance level of 270 is broken, leading to additional upward momentum, I will sell at a take-profit price of 290.0. If the support level of 240 is breached, I will sell at a stop-loss price of 230.0. We are considering an entry based on the potential to break through resistance levels following the upward revision of earnings guidance. Recently, the price has experienced significant volatility, fluctuating between $250 and $310, and has been on a downward trend; however, there are signs of a movement attempting to escape the oversold territory alongside the news of the guidance revision. The RSI(14) is at 40.0, indicating that it is moving out of the oversold range. It recorded a return of 18.0%, significantly exceeding the forecasted return of 8.5%. The scenario of breaking through the resistance level due to the upward guidance was successful, but the fact that the actual return was higher than predicted suggests that there was room to utilize volatility more aggressively. We have confirmed the explosive potential when fundamental positives, such as an upward revision of guidance, coincide with a technical rebound (RSI breakout). In the next trading session, I will consider a strategy to maximize profits by calculating the momentum more precisely when breaking through resistance levels. Past Similar Success Cases: LRCX, 2026-07-31 03:27:42, Return 18.0%, News: Lam Research projects $8.1B September-quarter revenue with WFE seen in low $150B range.

The news that LRCX's stock price surged due to a positive outlook on the increasing demand for AI chips served as a key catalyst. If the demand for AI chips continues to be favorable and an additional upward trend is confirmed, we would consider taking profits. Conversely, if the positive factors weaken or a sharp decline occurs, we would consider cutting losses. Basis: https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/why-is-lam-research-stock-surging-today-93CH-4776475 If considering an entry at this point, it was important to note that the candle flow showed a strong upward trend from 2026-06-25 to 2026-06-30, but experienced a sharp decline on 2026-07-01 and 2026-07-02, followed by a rebound on 2026-07-06. Notably, the closing price on 2026-07-06 was 350.2, slightly lower than the previous day's closing price of 351.41, but the price rebounded from an opening of 365.34 to a high of 366.08, indicating signs of halting the downward trend, which would have warranted consideration for entry. Additionally, if there was a judgment that the news of increased demand for AI chips could act as a positive catalyst, entering at this point could be seen as reasonable. The actual result significantly exceeded the forecasted return of 4.2%, achieving an OVERHIT rating of 346.8%. The reason for the inaccurate prediction was the much stronger-than-expected demand for AI chips, which had a positive impact, and the additional upward momentum during the rebound following a sharp decline in the candlestick flow. Notably, at the entry point of 2026-07-06, there were signs of a rebound from the downward trend; however, the potential for this rebound to lead to a much larger increase in conjunction with the positive news was underestimated. On the other hand, the inability to set a stop-loss criterion is a regrettable aspect. Although not considering a stop-loss during the sharp decline ultimately resulted in significant profits, the lack of risk management should be reflected in future trades. In the next trading session, we will analyze the strength of positive news and the bullish trend of candlestick patterns more closely. In particular, when there is a rebound after a sharp decline, we plan to set our profit-taking points more flexibly, considering the possibility that additional upward momentum could lead to significant gains in conjunction with positive news. We will also clearly define our stop-loss criteria and determine our entry based on the sustainability of the positive news, verified through objective news and data. For example, we will adjust our entry timing and position size depending on whether the increase in demand for AI chips is a short-term issue or a long-term trend.